Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.255500 12.503843 13.847884 15.404904 17.161936 19.086614 21.359109
2025-08-24 9.256813 10.947798 12.900772 15.332818 18.293720 21.798344 26.285609
2025-08-31 7.859398 9.799295 12.177482 15.329816 19.431785 24.633864 31.802544
2025-09-07 6.972125 9.104173 11.858926 15.719710 21.055473 28.264716 38.904643
2025-09-14 6.112517 8.303285 11.264718 15.621439 21.970686 31.047974 45.303393
2025-09-21 5.364245 7.540825 10.601295 15.300325 22.479771 33.279971 51.230924
2025-09-28 4.814452 6.980487 10.136874 15.176513 23.219998 35.909023 58.161349
2025-10-05 4.522905 6.756238 10.125249 15.713983 25.026306 40.429305 68.942032
2025-10-12 4.257393 6.535677 10.083619 16.181612 26.760255 45.058414 80.728176
2025-10-19 3.950578 6.213524 9.838981 16.271880 27.846219 48.702126 91.347989
2025-10-26 3.637726 5.847412 9.479210 16.112345 28.451735 51.540037 100.899398
2025-11-02 3.352391 5.497853 9.108337 15.882095 28.882556 54.087672 110.305195
2025-11-09 3.084233 5.158565 8.731443 15.615414 29.244981 56.630013 120.392076
2025-11-16 2.859244 4.874129 8.423787 15.442997 29.771740 59.596890 132.088199
2025-11-23 2.673972 4.643356 8.189966 15.384011 30.519287 63.148969 145.949535
2025-11-30 2.561749 4.534662 8.169877 15.742906 32.190094 68.995190 166.810174
2025-12-07 2.401270 4.321603 7.930766 15.626167 32.811241 72.554566 182.622164
2025-12-14 2.231750 4.076856 7.607217 15.294811 32.904171 74.878199 195.646168
2025-12-21 2.100544 3.894900 7.390355 15.165355 33.439687 78.363040 212.795809
2025-12-28 2.048183 3.863169 7.472309 15.699021 35.620822 86.388162 245.503281
2026-01-04 1.991696 3.818046 7.521714 16.164179 37.703763 94.545994 280.976034
2026-01-11 1.904642 3.703265 7.413904 16.253214 38.851826 100.375931 310.576935
2026-01-18 1.802926 3.550113 7.210470 16.093254 39.331632 104.414420 335.260836